Hold em or Fold em? 12/10/05

GnightMoon [$2464]
AMDBOSSMAN1 [$2042]

Dealt to GnightMoon [ 4d 5d]
AMDBOSSMAN1 calls [$20].
samoleus folds.
pit540540 raises [$60].
GnightMoon calls [$60].
BigBadBrad58 calls [$60].
KINEEKEEYS folds.
BadVoodoo folds.
ilach folds.
jumbas138 folds.
AMDBOSSMAN1 raises [$130].
pit540540 folds.
GnightMoon calls [$90].
BigBadBrad58 calls [$90].
** Dealing Flop ** [ Jd, 4s, 3d ]
AMDBOSSMAN1 is all-In [$1892]

**Hold em or Fold em?

I thought this hand out for a long time, and decided that it almost certainly has to be a call. There was $500+ in the pot, and the only hand that has me in bad shape, based on his preflop play is a set of Jacks, which I thought was highly unlikely considering his flop bet. All other hands I'm either a slight favorite against or a slight dog against. Lets look into this a little further. If he has two black Aces, I'm a 51% favorite. If he has AdAx, I'm a 46% favorite. If he has AdJx, I'm a 46.3% favorite. If he has AdKd, I'm a 52.4% favorite. If he has what he did in fact have, TsTc, I'm a 52.5% favorite. In the extreme cases, if he has JJ, I'm a 31% favorite. Last, a few players might be crazy enough to have AsKc here, in which case I would be a 87.3% favorite. My point is, most hands he holds is a coin flip, and there is $500+ sitting out there before his all-in, so I decided to call.

GnightMoon calls [$1892]
BigBadBrad58 folds.
** Dealing Turn ** [ 5c ]
** Dealing River ** [2h]
AMDBOSSMAN1 shows [Tc, Ts] pair of tens.